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OF Morning Newsletter

15/08/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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At the opening, European equity markets are expected to rise slightly. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4330.23 points (+0.21%), the CAC 40 at 7,348.84 points (+0.12%), the DAX 40 at 15,904.25 points (+0.46%), the FTSE 100 at 7,507.15 points (-0.23%), the SMI at 11,110.11 points (+0.26%), the AEX at 766.21 points (+0.23%), the SMI at 11,110.11 points (+0.26%), the AEX at 766.21 points (+0.23%) 0.14%), the BEL 20 at 3,687.05 points (+0.06%), the IBEX 35 at 9,429.60 points (-0.05%), the DJIA at 35,307.63 points (+0.07%), the Nasdaq at 13,788.33 points (+1.05%), the S&P 500 at 4,489.72 points (+0.58%), the Nikkei 225 at 32.309.33 points (+1.05%), the S&P 500 at 4,489.72 points (+0.58%), the Nikkei 225 at 32.309,9 54 points (+0.78%)

.

With respect to exchange rates, the change compared to the close mentions that in New York, the EUR/USD was at 1.0913 (+0.06%), the EUR/JPY at 158.81 (+0.03%), and the USD/JPY at 145.53 (-0.02%).


The corporate agenda is empty in France this holiday, and no economic indicators should be published on this day.


In the wake of Wall Street's rise tonight, European equity markets could open higher on Tuesday. According to data from the broker IG, the futures contract on the CAC 40 rose by 30.1 points, or 0.4%, at 7:30. The contract on the FTSE 100 rose by 16.5 points, or 0.2%, and the contract on the DAX 40 rose 50.2 points, or 0.3%

.

This morning, investors will review the ZEW leading indicator in Germany for the month of August and will have to integrate several news from China, including the central bank's reduction of its two key rates, which suggests lower interest rates eacute; the country's reference loan during the month. For its part, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected 401 billion yuan (50.8 billion euros) in liquidity through its one-year medium-term lending facility, at an interest rate of 2.50%, up from 2.65%

previously.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, retail sales in China, a key indicator of consumption in the country, rose 2.5% compared to July 2022, after rising 3.1% in June.

The two-year Treasury bond rate continued to rise by more than 7 basis points, to 4.969%. While the 10-year US Treasury bond rate hit a high point during the session of 4.215%, not far from the 4.231% reached last October for the first time since 2008. The main Asian equity markets moved in a mixed manner on Tuesday. While the Shanghai Composite lost 0.3% and the Hang Seng fell 0.8% in Hong Kong, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange gained 0.8% at the end of the session.

While traders assess inflation prospects in the United States over the coming months, US Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday. Prudence is required after the publication of the consumer price index for the month of July last Thursday, then that, on Friday, of the producer price index, which accelerated more than expected last month according to observers. Around 7:20 a.m., the rate on the 2-year US Treasury was almost stable, at 4.965%, while that of the 10-year bond gained 1 basis point, at

4.206%.


The greenback was unchanged against the Japanese currency, while the euro was little changed against the dollar and the yen this morning. After the announcement of a reduction in key rates by the Chinese central bank, the dollar remained stable during the Asian session. U.S. retail sales statistics for the month of July, to be announced on Tuesday, are the next factor likely to cause the dollar to react. Corpay believes that “uncertainty remains regarding the resilience of consumption in the world's largest economy

.”


Crude oil prices are moving around balance this morning, after initially losing ground due to concerns about the Chinese economy. According to Oanda, many operators fear that China, one of the largest importers of crude oil, will not be able to grow above 5% this year, which could have a strong impact on global growth expectations

.

For the brokerage firm, “if China does not implement major stimulus measures, concerns about global growth will not disappear for a long time. The oil market is expected to remain tight, but if fears about the country increase, Brent could fall by a few more dollars

.”

The September contract on soft light crude (WTI) traded on Nymex lost 3 cents, at $82.48 a barrel, and the October contract on North Sea Brent won 2 cents, at 86.23 dollars, around 7:20 a.m.

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