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OF Morning Newsletter

18/08/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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After the Wall Street downturn, European equity markets are expected to fall. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,227.83 points (-1.32%), the CAC 40 at 7,191.74 points (-0.94%), the DAX 40 at 15,676.90 points (-0.71%), the FTSE 100 at 7,310.21 points (-0.63%), the SMI at 10,884.89 points (-0.98%), the AEX at 737.63 points (-2,98%), the AEX at 737.63 points (-2.98%) 54%), the BEL 20 at 3,615.56 points (-0.79%), the IBEX 35 at 9,278.00 points (-0.78%), the DJIA at 34.474.83 points (-0.84%), the Nasdaq at 13,316.93 points (-1.17%), the S&P 500 at 4,370.36 points (-0.77%), the Nikkei 225 at 31.403.36 points (-0.77%) 68 points (-0.70%)

.

With respect to foreign exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, EUR/USD at 1.0884 (+0.10%), EUR/JPY at 158.33 (-0.14%), and USD/JPY at 145.50 (-0.24%).

Yesterday evening, electrical and mechanical engineering specialist Spie announced the signing of an agreement to acquire 75.1% of the capital of the German company BridgingIT GmbH, which specializes in digital transformation services. In a press release, Spie indicated that the multiple of the transaction is slightly less than 9 times the EBITA expected in 2023 post-synergies. No economic indicators are to be published on Friday in France.


While investors fear a further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed), European equity markets are expected to start Friday's session lower. According to data from the broker IG, the FTSE 100 contract fell by 31.6 points, or 0.4%, and the DAX 40 contract lost 66.8 points, or 0.4%. The CAC 40 futures contract fell 23.1 points, or 0.3%. Investors will turn their attention to the eurozone inflation figures for July this morning

.

Yesterday, the New York Stock Exchange closed lower, hampered by renewed interest rate pressures. The market noted a drop in unemployment registrations last week in the United States on Thursday, underlining the continued strength of the market of employment. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index improved significantly in August, reflecting an increase in activity for the first time in a year.

After the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond reached a 15-year high following the announcement of an unexpected acceleration in industrial production in the United States, the S&P 500 had already closed on Wednesday & worsening; its lowest level in nearly six weeks

.

The main Asian stock markets fell on Friday. The Hang Seng lost 1.1% and the Shanghai Composite lost 0.1%, and the Shanghai Composite lost 0.1%. The Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange fell 0.6% at the end of the session. While it wants to have its plan to restructure $19 billion in offshore debt validated by an American court, the Chinese real estate giant China Evergrande placed itself under the protection of Chapter 15 of the New York bankruptcy law on Thursday

.


This morning, US Treasury bond yields are generally falling. For Solita Marcelli, Americas Investment Director at UBS Global Wealth Management, “the recent rise in returns offers the opportunity to lock in attractive rates.” Solita Marcelli still expects the rate hike decided by the Fed in July to be the last in the current cycle. At the end of its September 20 meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the markets take into account an 86.5% probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged, in a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

At the end of the November meeting the probability of an increase of 25 basis points. Around 7:10am, the 2-year US Treasury bond rate was almost stable, at 4.928%, and the 10-year bond rate fell 3 basis points, to 4.256%.


Like the greenback, the euro appreciated against the dollar this morning, but lost ground against the yen. Commerzbank analysts believe that the rise in the yuan is driving up other Asian currencies. The Chinese authorities said they had ordered state-owned banks to increase their foreign exchange market interventions to support the yuan. This week, the Chinese central bank cut interest rates this week, in part to support the currency after poor economic indicators emerged in the country

.

Crude oil futures are gaining ground this morning, amid a weak dollar. According to Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research, this week's news was “less encouraging [for crude] and renewed concerns about the Chinese real estate sector, and the Chinese economy more generally, dampened market optimism about economic growth.” While the September contract for sweet light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex fell 3 cents to $80.42 per barrel, and the October contract for North Sea Brent fell by 7 cents to $84.05 at 7:15

am.
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