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OF Morning Newsletter

25/08/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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Ahead of Powell's speech, European equity markets are expected to fall. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,232.22 points (-0.81%), the CAC 40 at 7,214.46 points (-0.44%), the DAX 40 at 15,621.49 points (-0.68%), the FTSE 100 at 7,333.63 points (+0.18%), the SMI at 10,976.83 points (+0.03%), the AEX at 733.99 points (-0.91%)), the BEL 20 at 3,619.41 points (-0.10%), the IBEX 35 at 9,324.70 points (+0.10%), the DJIA at 34.099.42 points (-1.08%), the Nasdaq at 13,463.97 points (-1.87%), the S&P 500 at 4,376.31 points (-1.35%), the Nikkei 225 at 31.641.31 points (-1.99%

).

As far as foreign exchange rates are concerned, the change from the close indicates that in New York, EUR/USD is 1.0810 (-0.01%), EUR/JPY is 157.77 (+0.07%), and USD/JPY is 145.96 (+0.08%).


The business agenda is empty in France and no economic indicators should be published today.


In the wake of Wall Street and Asian markets, European equity markets are expected to fall at the opening on Friday. Operators waiting for the speech of the President of the American Federal Reserve (Fed), Jerome Powell, at the annual Central Bankers Symposium in Jackson Hole. Data from the broker IG indicates that the FTSE 100 contract fell 14 points, or 0.2%, and the DAX 40 contract fell by 64.3 points, or 0.4%. For its part, the CAC 40 futures contract lost 25.8 points, or 0.4%,

at 7:25am.

Today, investors are paying attention to the release, in Germany, of detailed second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and the IFO business climate index for the month of August. At 16:05 and 21:00, respectively, the speeches that will be given In Jackson Hole the President of the Fed and the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) will be particularly closely watched.

In addition, while bond market rates have risen again and the appreciation of the dollar has also weighed on prices, the New York Stock Exchange experienced its biggest fall in three weeks on Thursday. The three major American indexes finally had their worst session since August 2, after erasing their morning progress. The Dow closed down 1.1% and the broader S&P 500 index fell 1.4%. Far from being supported by the excellent results published the night before by Nvidia (+0.1%), the Nasdaq Composite plunged
1.9%.

In Asia, the main markets fell back on Friday. At the end of the session, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange fell by 2%. For its part, the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.7%, and the Hang Seng fell by 1.2% in

Hong Kong.

This morning, US Treasury bond yields are stable, prior to the Fed Chairman's intervention in Jackson Hole. After the announcement of a drop in unemployment registrations in the United States, which fell to their lowest level in three weeks last week, rates rose on Thursday. Zachary Hill, Head of Portfolio Management at Horizon Investments, said: “As always, investors will be looking at what Jerome Powell and his colleagues say about where central banks could take — including understanding whether interest rates could remain relatively high for an extended period of time, even if inflation continues to

fall.”


The euro is stable against the dollar but appreciated slightly against the yen, as was the greenback on Friday morning. According to ING, much has already been written about what Jerome Powell will say during the Jackson Hole conference. According to the Bank, the majority opinion is that the Fed Chairman will be cautious about a possible continuation of monetary tightening. ING also believes that Jerome Powell should also stress that the central bank will take into account all economic indicators before committing to raise rates further.

Amid reduced OPEC production, which has led to a sharp drop in global crude inventories over the past month, crude oil futures are up this morning. For ANZ, questions about the offer remain, however, with the Biden government announcing that it has initiated discussions with Venezuela to ease the embargo on the country's crude exports. According to him, Venezuela, which produced 2 million barrels per day before the sanctions came into force, currently produces nearly 750,000 barrels per

day.

While the October contract for North Sea Brent gained 30 cents, at 83.66 dollars, the contract with the same maturity on light sweet crude (WTI) listed on Nymex rose by 31 cents, to 79.36 dollars per barrel, at 7:25am.

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