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OF Morning Newsletter

20/09/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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As the Fed's decision approaches, European stock markets are expected to change little. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,242.70 points (-0.07%), the CAC 40 at 7,282.12 points (+0.08%), the DAX 40 at 15,664.48 points (-0.40%), the FTSE 100 at 7,660.20 points (+0.09%), the SMI at 11,068.70 points (-0.20%), the AEX at 734.93 points (-0.13%), the BEL 20 at 3,677.75 points (+0.10%), the IBEX 35 at 9,527.20 points (+0.48%), the DJIA at 34,517.73 points (-0.31%), the Nasdaq at 13,678.19 points (-0.23%), the S&P 500 at 4,443.95 points (-0.22%), the Nikkei 225 at 33.22% 064,83 points (-0.53%

).

With respect to exchange rates, the change compared to the close indicates that in New York, EUR/USD is 1.0680 (-0.01%), EUR/JPY 157.86 (-0.04%), and USD/JPY at 147.84 (-0.02%).

Yesterday evening, the satellite operator Eutelsat announced that it had signed a new contract with Eurovision Services for the broadcast of live events. According to the group in a statement, “this new multi-year agreement allows Eurovision Services to ensure the live broadcast of major sporting events in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, via the Eutelsat fleet

.”


As the US Federal Reserve (Fed) approaches the monetary policy decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), European equity markets could open in a fragmented order on Wednesday. According to data from the broker IG, the contract on the DAX 40 took 15 points, or 0.1%, and the one on the FTSE 100 lost 18 points, or 0.2%. The CAC 40 futures contract lost 1 point, or 0.01%, around 7:40 a.m. While investors are largely anticipating a status quo on interest rates on Wednesday, they believe that the Fed could leave the door open to a future hike given the persistence of inflationary pressures. This year, a status quo would be the second in six meetings for the Fed. The central bank is slowing the pace of its rate hikes to give itself time to assess their impact on the economy and inflation

.

According to Raymond James, markets “want certainty and the Fed has no intention of giving them certainty.” For its part, MUFG Bank indicated that markets should focus on three key points. This is the tone of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the press conference that will follow the meeting and the indications he may provide on the path of rates at the end of this year; the “dot plot,” the rate forecasts of Fed members, which could leave the wait for rate cuts in 2024; and then the summary of economic projections, the bank details.
Wall Street closed lower on Tuesday. The expanded S&P 500 lost 0.2%, the Dow Jones Index (DJIA) fell 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite, rich in tech stocks, fell

0.2%.

Major Asian markets are also falling today, as the People's Bank of China has left policy rates unchanged and investors await the Bank of Japan's expected monetary policy decision on Friday. The Shanghai Composite lost 0.4%, the Hang Seng lost 0.7% to Hong Kong, and at the end of the session, the Nikkei index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange

lost 0.6%.

Today, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) left its key rates unchanged, as expected by investors after the release of a series of indicators signaling the stabilization of the Chinese economy. In a statement, the Chinese Central Bank said it had kept the one-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.45 percent and the five-year Loan Prime Rate, the benchmark rate for mortgages, at

4.2 percent.


As markets await the Fed's monetary policy decision, U.S. Treasury bond yields stabilized this morning at their highest levels in many years. In recent weeks, bond market rates have risen as a result of a combination of rising oil prices and better-than-expected economic indicators in the United States, which have heightened concerns about inflationary pressures.
Around 7:40 a.m., the rate for the two-year bond stood at 5.092%, against 5.105% on Tuesday and that of the ten-year Treasury note changed to 4.366%, against 4.364% on Tuesday evening

.


This morning, the dollar changed little against the euro, before the Fed's decision. The single currency was almost unchanged, at 1.0682 dollars,

around 7:40am.

This morning, oil prices are falling pending the Fed's decision. For Oanda, “if the Fed signals that rates will remain high for an extended period of time and the risk of an abrupt economic landing increases, the dollar could benefit, which could weigh on oil prices as a result.” Russia and Saudi Arabia have each reduced production. And investors have ignored concerns about weak growth in China and Europe and driven up oil prices due to increasingly tight supply. Around 7:30am, the November contract for sweet light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex sold 78 cents to $89.70 per barrel, and the North Sea Brent contract of the same date lost 83 cents to $93.51

.
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