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OF Morning Brief

09/12/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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As all eyes turn to the reunion of monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (Fed), European stock exchanges are expected to open slightly higher on Tuesday.

The National Assembly is due to vote on Tuesday on the game expenses and then the whole Security financing bill social, after the adoption of the revenue component on Friday, by a narrow majority. Si the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, called on his group to vote for the bill, the divisions on this text in the Assembly make its adoption is uncertain.

In business news on Monday evening, the Spie, a specialist in electrical and mechanical engineering, announced the acquisition of German company Cyqueo, in order to strengthen itself in the field of cybersecurity. Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed. Cyqueo achieved a turnover of around 20 million euros in 2024.

Car manufacturers Renault and Ford have announced on Tuesday that it had signed a strategic partnership in the field of passenger and commercial vehicles in Europe, in order to strengthen their competitiveness in a rapidly changing market. Both partners are planning first of all, to develop two new passenger vehicles electric for the Ford brand.

Medincell will release its half-year results on Tuesday after the close of the Paris stock exchange.

Around 7:40 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract went up by 0.3%, according to data from the broker IG.

As investors prepare for Fed announcements, expected Wednesday, of index futures Europeans made timid progress on Tuesday morning.

According to data from the broker IG, the futures contract on the DAX 40 in Frankfurt gained 0.1%, while the one on the FTSE 100 at London was stable, around 7:40am.

The Fed will start its two-day meeting on Tuesday and will announce its decision on interest rates on Wednesday. The CME FedWatch tool Group indicates that the market is currently estimating the likelihood of a reduction by a quarter of a point of the central bank's key interest rate at 89.4%.

The market will mainly react to the forecasts of Fed officials concerning the evolution of rates (“dot plot”), to the changes in the wording of the communiqué and to the speech of the president of the central bank, Jerome Powell, and will be watching for indications on the timeframe and extent of future rate cuts, says David Doyle, head of economics at Macquarie Group. “On this point, we think that the compromise will be a more neutral perspective (less accommodating), which will show that the [monetary policy] committee is considering the calendar and the pace of future declines as more ambiguous.”

The New York Stock Exchange ended down on Monday, while investors were cautious on the eve of the meeting from the Fed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.5% to 47,739.32 points, and the S&P 500 lost 0.4% to 6,846.51 points. The Nasdaq Composite, rich in technology stocks ended up down 0.1% to 23,545.90 points.

Wall Street reacted in particular to the counteroffer of Paramount (+9%) on Warner Bros. Discovery (+4.4%) for 108 billion dollars including debt. Paramount said that its proposal “offers [a] to shareholders 18 billion more dollars in cash >> than that of Netflix (-3.4%.)

After the closure of Wall Street, the American President, Donald Trump, has announced that it would allow Nvidia to export its H200 chip to China and that United States would receive a 25% commission on these sales.
This year, Nvidia agreed to pay the American State a royalty of 15% on its sales in China of a less efficient chip, but Beijing scuttled these projects as part of ongoing trade negotiations between the two parties.
The H200 is more efficient than the H20, which the group was previously authorized. for sale, but it's not as powerful as the flagship products of the The company's Blackwell range released this year, nor that the generation of Rubin fleas expected next year.
In Asia, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange gained 0.1% on Tuesday at the end of session. The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.4%, while the Hang Seng of Hong Kong stock market fell by 1.3%.

The rate of the American Treasury bond at ten ans gained 0.8 basis points, to 4.18%, around 7:40am. The bond rate for two Years grew by 1.3 basis points to 3.59%.

The greenback rose by 0.1% against the currency Japanese, at 156.02 yen. Around 7:40 a.m., the euro gained 0.1% to 1.1648 dollars.

Oil prices fell this morning. The contract In January on soft light crude oil (WTI) listed on Nymex lost 24 cents, or 0.4%, to 58.64 dollars per barrel. Around 7:40 a.m., the February contract on Brent The London-listed North Sea lost 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $62.28 per cent barrel.

Investors are watching the talks in Course to end the war in Ukraine, says the research team on the economy and markets of UOB. Progress in peace talks remain slow, disputes over security guarantees for Kiev and the the status of the territories occupied by Russia was still unresolved, specify the team.

American and Russian officials also have differing views on the peace proposal made by the administration Trump, adds UOB.

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