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Oil: prices fall slightly

30/01/2026
Categories: Raw materials

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Oil prices recorded a Slight fall on Friday, thanks to signals suggesting a possible resumption of dialogue between the United States and Iran around the program Iranian nuclear power. This outlook has alleviated fears of disruptions in global supplies, linked to a possible military intervention American in the region.

At 12:19 GMT, the barrel of Brent from the Sea of Nord lost 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $70.50. The March contract, coming At the end of the day, was less active than the one in April, which fell by 45 cents, or 0.65%, to $69.14. For its part, oil American crude West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 38 cents, or 0.6%, to stand at $65.04 per barrel.

“President Trump's willingness to give A chance for diplomacy with Iran seems to make for a military intervention American less likely than yesterday,” commented Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil Associates. These statements come after a week marked by a rise in tensions in the Middle East and a strengthening of the presence American military in the region. On Wednesday, Donald Trump had urged Iran to conclude a nuclear deal under threat of an attack, before to indicate on Thursday that he was considering discussions with the leaders Iranians.

Despite this downturn at the end of the week, the reference prices remain well oriented over the month. Brent is heading for its biggest monthly increase since January 2022, while the WTI is heading for its best monthly gain since July 2023.

Prices have also been influenced by Dollar, which hit a 4-year low at the start of the week. The However, the greenback strengthened on Friday after Donald Trump's announcement. of the appointment of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, to succeed Jerome Powell as head of the American Central Bank at the end of his term in May. A stronger dollar tends to dampen demand for oil for buyers using other currencies.

According to Tamas Varga, other factors weigh also on prices, especially the increase in crude oil production in the United States after temporary shutdowns, as well as the imminent resumption of production at the Tengiz oil field in Kazakhstan. “Given the strong bullish performance of the week, it is reasonable to expect to take profits before the weekend,” he added.

In addition, maintenance periods Maximum primary refining capacities in Russia are expected this month and September, according to Reuters' calculations based on estimates from industrial sources, an additional element likely to influence the evolution of the market in the coming weeks.

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