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OF Morning Newsletter

04/07/2023
Categories: General Information

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European equity markets are expected to change little when they open up. Thus, the Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,398.15 points (-0.02%), the CAC 40 at 7,386.70 points (-0.18%), the DAX 40 at 16,081.04 points (-0.41%), the FTSE 100 at 7,527.26 points (-0.06%), the SMI at 11.219.15 points (-0.54%), the AEX at 77,06% 6.44 points (+0.32%), the BEL 20 at 3,542.34 points (-0.02%), the IBEX 35 at 9,644.80 points (+0.54%), the DJIA at 34,418.47 points (+0.03%), the Nasdaq at 13,816.77 points (+0.21%), the S&P 500 at 4,455.59 points (+0.12%), and the Nikkei 225 at 33.446 3.6 points (-0.91%

).

With respect to exchange rates, the change from the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD at 1,0906 (-0.07%), EUR/JPY at 157.76 (-0.10%), and USD/JPY at 144.66 (-0.01%).

Virbac veterinary laboratory on Monday lowered its objectives for fiscal 2023, amid a market slowdown and more limited vaccine production capacities for dogs and cats than expected in the first half of the year.

No economic indicators are to be published on Tuesday in France.

European equity markets are expected to open hesitantly on Tuesday morning, in weak trading due to the closure of American markets for National Day in the United States. At 7:40am, the futures contract on the CAC 40 yielded 1.1 points, according to data from the broker IG. The contract on the DAX 40 took 24.1 points, or 0.2%, and the one on the FTSE 100 lost 4

points, or 0.1%.

The New York Stock Exchange closed slightly higher on Monday, for its shortened session on the eve of National Day in the United States. The market continued to rise on Monday despite the announcement of a deterioration in the business climate for the eighth consecutive month in the American manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturing index fell to 46 last month, a low point since spring 2020, from 46.9 in May and an economist consensus of

47.3.

In Asia, equity markets performed mixed on Tuesday. The Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange lost 0.9% at the end of the session. The Hang Seng rose 0.5% in Hong Kong and the Shanghai Composite rose 0.1%.

The yield on the two-year US Treasury bond, sensitive to monetary policy, rose for the third consecutive time during Monday's shortened session, despite the release of mixed economic data in the United States. The 10-year Treasury bond rate rose nearly 2 basis points on Monday, to 3.858%. The two-year title won 3 basis points, at 4.929%

.

Investors will listen to the minutes of the June 13 and 14 June meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), ahead of the release of the June, Friday non-farm employment report. The employment report is expected to influence operators' views on the Fed's next monetary policy decisions. Markets estimate that the Fed is 88.7% likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on July 26, to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%, according to CME's FedWatch tool

.

Operators also estimate the probability of a second rise of the same magnitude before the end of the year at 30.3%, bringing interest rates between 5.5% and 5.75%. According to them, there is a small chance that rates will end up at an even higher level.

The euro lost some ground Tuesday morning against the dollar and the yen, while the greenback was stable against the Japanese currency. The session is expected to be quiet on the foreign exchange market on this national holiday in the United States, according to Commonwealth Bank of Australia. In addition, no major indicators are expected in the European Union and the United Kingdom, nor any intervention by central bankers, the bank adds. The dollar recovered after falling on Monday, hit by a weaker than expected ISM manufacturing index in the United States

.

Oil futures rose Tuesday morning, after Saudi Arabia decided to extend its production cut by one million barrels per day until August and Russia announced that it would cut exports by 500,000 barrels per day next month. Analysts and operators remain skeptical about whether Russia will respect its commitment to reduce production by 500,000 barrels per day until the end of 2023, as it promised at the beginning of the year. Around 7:30 a.m., the September North Sea Brent contract was gaining 35 cents, at $75 per barrel, and the August contract on Nymex-traded soft light crude (WTI) also rose 35 cents, to $70.14

per barrel.
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