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Foreign exchange market: general rise in currencies except the rand and the dollar

19/08/2024
Source : ORISHAS-FINANCE
Categories: Economy/Forex

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The Australian dollar at its highest level of the month, while the Indian rupee is up thanks to the rise of its peers. For its part, the yuan grew and the Dirham appreciated against the euro and the dollar. The US dollar falls due to bets on an accommodative Fed and the South African rand falls ahead of the release of inflation data this week

.

The Australian dollar hit its highest level in a month on Monday, supported by sustained risk appetite and expectations that interest rates won't be cut anytime soon, while the kiwi moved closer to a major chart level. The New Zealand dollar also rose by 0.3% to 0.6071 dollars, after rising by 0.9% last week. It is targeting major levels at $0.6083 and $0.6088 to recover from the post-RBNZ gloom. Both were bolstered by a rebound in risk appetite, as strong U.S. retail sales and slower inflation led investors to bet that the world's largest economy would avoid a recession and that the Federal Reserve would cut rates in September

.

The Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Monday, boosted by a widespread fall in the US dollar amid optimistic risk appetite and expectations of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

The 1-month undeliverable futures contract indicated that the rupee would open at 83.86-83.88 per US dollar, up from 83.94 in the previous session.

The yuan rose on Monday, as did other Asian currencies, with investors betting on a fall in US rates within a month, which would mean the end of a long rise in the dollar. It climbed to 7.1437 per dollar during morning trading and was about 0.2% firmer at 7.1444. After being stuck for months at the bottom of its daily trading range as China's economic outlook darkened, the yuan has rebounded to the middle of its range in recent weeks, mainly due to the weakening dollar. The offshore yuan was up about 0.2% to 7.1463 per dollar at 03:30

GMT.

The Dirham appreciated by 0.12% against the euro and by 0.25% against the American dollar during the week from 8 to 14 August 2024, according to Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM). During this period, no transactions adjudication were carried out on the foreign exchange market, states BAM in its weekly bulletin. Note that official reserve assets stood, on August 9, at 364.7 billion DH, down 0.5% from one week to the next and up 4% year-on-year

.

As for him, the US dollar fell overall on Monday, especially against the yen, as investors bet on an accommodative tone emerging from the minutes of the Federal Reserve's July monetary policy meeting and President Jerome Powell's upcoming speech in Jackson Hole. Against the yen, the greenback fell by more than 0.8% to 146.37 yen, down from a two-week high of 149.40 yen last week, although analysts said that the sharp drop was largely due to the overall weakness of the dollar. Faced with a basket of currencies, the dollar lost 0.24% to 102.21, not far from a seven-month low of 102.15. Traders fully incorporated a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in September, with a 24.5% probability of a 50 bps cut

.

The South African rand was slightly weaker in early trading on Monday, after gaining last week, ahead of the release of national inflation data on Wednesday, which could give insights into the future trajectory of the country's interest rates.

At 06:31 GMT, the rand was trading at 17.8775 against the dollar, about 0.1% below its closing level on Friday.
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