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Find all the economic and financial information on our Orishas Direct application to download on Play Storemaintenance. Beyond the announcement of the replacement of the CFA franc by the eco, the Togolese economist says everything about
its significance, symbolic or real, for economies.
Since the announcement of the replacement of the CFA franc by the eco in eight West African countries made on Saturday
December 21 by French President Emmanuel Macron and Ivorian President Alassane Ouattara, many
questions are jostling. Kako Nubukpo, Togolese economist known for his research on the
CFA franc, the analysis as a historical and decisive step for the future of the continent. When il
picks up the phone on Sunday afternoon, December 22, there is like a relief in the tone of sa
voice - his anti-CFA stances have sometimes cost him dearly. He spoke to Point Afrique.
Le Point Afrique: Can we really describe as historic the announcement of the replacement of the CFA franc by the eco
in eight West African countries?
Kako Nubukpo: This is a historic decision for two reasons. First, this is the first time since
75 years that we change the name of this currency. That is to say, since December 26, 1945, and despite the
different evolutions, we have kept the acronym CFA for "French colonies of Africa". What makes
in the popular imagination, the CFA has not moved. But being from the institutionalist school, I think the
money goes beyond the sole framework of the economy. Because that's what refers to your identity. Just
recall the debates that took place at the time of the creation of the euro. Germany didn't want
abandon the deutsche mark because the mark is the German identity. You can't today
ask Americans to count in yen because their identity is the dollar. The unit of account of the
money is the primary function of money. Money is a total social fact. It's not just debr< />
the economy. And so the decision that was announced on Saturday is a historical fact, a political fact and a fact
societal. The symbolic dimension is as important as the rest. And so, contrary to what
many people think, the change of name of the currency is a break with the order
existing. Moreover, this name is the name chosen for the future single currency of the 15 countries of the Community
Economic of West African States (ECOWAS). Afterwards, the terms of this rupture may not
be obvious right away.
Secondly, it is necessary to highlight the closure of the operating account and the renunciation by Paris of the deposit
at least 50% of the foreign exchange reserves of the countries of the franc zone with the French Treasury with the addition of the
withdrawal of the French from all WAEMU decision-making bodies. All these decisions mark the
end of an era, since the France fate of the daily monetary management of the WAEMU States.
What are the driving forces that led the France to make such a turnaround after years of status quo?
It is a bundle of convergences that has led to speeding things up. There has been an expansion of
stakeholders in the debate that made it possible to trivialize in the positive sense of the term, what appeared in the
departure as a polemic. This made it possible to analyse the terms of the debate and finally to publicise it
also. And I see four stakeholders who pushed the decision of the French heads of state and
African.
There is the work of researchers and economists. I co
painful with my eviction from the International Organization of La Francophonie after the publication of a
tribune in Le Monde Afrique in 2017 following President Macron's visit to Ouagadougou. There was
conferences open to the public, public programs and I recently devoted a whole
chapter in the CFA franc in my last book.
Then there are African civil societies and diasporas that have mobilized. We also saw figures
like Kémi Séba who went so far as to burn a 5,000 CFA franc note in public in Dakar. Different
movements like Y'en a marre in Senegal, the Balai citoyen in Burkina Faso that have also rushed to the
Stretchers. The role of these various actors has been fundamental, because it is they that President Emmanuel
Macron listened. In my opinion, the French President played a role because let us not forget that he created the
Presidential Council for Africa, whose role is to raise the wishes of African civil societies of the
continent and its diasporas.
The second block is the International Monetary Fund. In 2016, Christine Lagarde moved to
no one in Yaoundé to ask the Heads of State of Central Africa for a devaluation of the franc
CFA, because it estimated that CEMAC's foreign exchange reserves were almost close to zero.
Since the 1994 devaluation, the IMF has remained very vigilant on monetary management in the franc zone, that is
The third block is China. There is a surge from China economically, but also
monetary. Because our states have become heavily indebted to China and have been forced to
negotiate with the IMF for debt forgiveness. I give the example of Congo-Brazzaville. China is >
re-entered the franc zone through indebtedness and also through what is called "Angola
fashion". Since August 15, 2016, Angola has adopted The Chinese currency as legal tender and power
liberating throughout the territory. In August 2018, Nigeria also signed an agreement with China that allows for
bypass the dollar and the euro to make transactions between the Chinese yuan and the Nigerian naira. In fact, this < />
internationalization of trade gave the impression that the CFA franc was a kind of colonial relic.
The last block is the arrival in the debate of European countries like Italy, which has strongly attacked the
France by saying that with the CFA franc she maintained colonies in Africa to quote the words of Luigi
Di Maio and Matteo Salvini last spring. Then there was the Russia-Africa summit in Sochi where the
Russians have clearly taken up the cause of the anti-CFA.
Why does the decision to end the CFA franc concern only the WAEMU zone and not the whole
of the fifteen countries ?
ECOWAS, which launched on 29 June 2019 in Abuja its process of creating a common currency, has
as a result, it fostered development in West Africa. That is, the credible alternative is already in
Motion. You do not have the same process in Central Africa. Then there is actually the Comoros,
who currently have no other alternative. But the situation can quite change in the
next weeks or months for Central Africa and comoros.
Won't the announced reform of the CFA "short-circuit" the single currency project of the
ECOWAS which includes the fifteen countries of the West African zone?
It is the opposite. It can be said that the decisions that have been announced will facilitate the implementation of
eco. On the one hand, we have ECOWAS which decided at the summit of 29 June 2019 in Abuja to create in
2020 a common currency called the eco. In these texts, the organization has set up criteria of
convergence. There are six of them, including the budget deficit, inflation, debt,
foreign exchange reserves, etc. However, it turns out that today it is the WAEMU countries that respect best
these criteria. Simply because they already exist within the WAEMU since 1999.
It turns out that the criteria required for countries that want to enter the eco are about the same as
those of the WAEMU. They are even more relaxed since in the WAEMU a rate
of inflation less than or equal to 3%, whereas in ECOWAS, an inflation rate less than or equal to
to 10%.
Won't this create tensions between the French
Nigeria demanded that the WAEMU countries sever all ties with the French Treasury before the concretization
of the eco. This is now done with the announcement of the end of the CFA franc. This decision created a
convergence of interests for each of the countries of the West African region.
So there will be no division between anglophones and francophones?
A priori no, since it is the fifteen countries that have agreed on the convergence criteria. There
would have a problem if one of the WAEMU members met the criteria and was denied entry into
eco.
The subject that annoys is the fixed parity of the future currency, the eco with the euro.
The fixed rate of the eco with the euro is a transitional measure. President Alassane Ouattara said it
explicitly during the press conference. This is only to reassure investors. When on
creates a new currency, it is necessary to take into account the risks of capital flight or inflation such as
this is the case in other African countries. Failure to maintain the fixed rate could cause the franc
CFA on the market.
But you have always defended the argument that pegging to the euro, a strong currency, is problematic
for the economies of the region.
I still think so. That is why I say that we must remain vigilant on this issue. For me, the rate of
Fixed exchange rate between the eco and the euro only makes sense if it is for a transitional period to reassure the
Markets. But what the ECOWAS Heads of State decided on 29 June in Abuja is that in the long term
the eco would be in flexible exchange rate. In fact, the eco will be pegged to a basket of global currencies like
the dollar, the Chinese yuan, the yen etc. This will better reflect the diversity of our economic partners.
Decision-makers will thus have greater room for manoeuvre since the eco will be able to fluctuate. Today,
the problem with the CFA is that when the euro goes up, the CFA also goes up mechanically and it's not good
for the competitiveness of our countries, especially for the export of our products. But when you have a
more flexible currency, you have more room for maneuver and you can appreciate and
depreciate it according to your competitiveness requirements.
It must be understood that the decision that has been taken is historic in the sense that sovereignty
monetary passes from Paris to West Africa. What I'm saying to leaders is that you can
independent was not compatible with the subcontracting of our monetary sovereignty to Paris.
Now we are recovering our monetary sovereignty, it is up to us to manage it. The cord
umbilical. These are responsibilities. You can't want to be independent, but let it be the others
who manage a major element of our sovereignty, we must be consistent. In any case, the President
Emmanuel Macron got rid of that. It is to be hoped that our Heads of State are ready too.
Paris still retains its role as financial guarantor for the eight WAEMU countries, for what reasons
?
It was the African heads of State who asked the France to keep the guarantee for a time. Because
that when markets know that France guarantees, they are more confident. The reality is that we
we are perceived to be less credible than the France. This is the consequence of weak governance in
our countries. The markets do not trust our countries and that is the truth. It's played at the level of the
confidence. In absolute terms, the France will not need to put their hands in their pockets. There is enough b
reserves to ensure the convertibility of the future currency.
Except in case of crisis...
Indeed, if the BCEAO faced a lack of availability to cover its liabilities in foreign currency,
she will be able to obtain the necessary euros from the France. This guarantee should take the form
a "line of credit".
What will become of the foreign exchange reserves estimated at 19 billion euros...
Reserves fluctuate between 15 and 19 billion good year, bad year. The Central Bank of African States of
the West will no longer have to deposit half of its foreign exchange reserves with the Bank of France, it will be
free to invest your assets in the assets of your choice with the various banking institutions or
Financial. I proposed, for example, that these reserves be deposited with the Bank of
international regulations located in Basel, Switzerland. This bank was created to make settlements
International. The purpose of foreign exchange reserves is to pay for our imports and receive the
product of our exports, so they are used for international regulations. A country like
Madagascar, which no longer belongs to the franc zone since 1973, has its accounts with the Banque des
international regulations. But it is one proposal among others. In the end, it is the central bank that
must arbitrate between the security of deposits and the remuneration of these deposits, because it is indeed a savings. You just have to make sure that the institution with which the deposit is made is not going to go bankrupt and that this money
is well paid because it affects the central bank's operating account.
Some say that to complete the process and end the CFA franc, we would also have to change the
place of printing of the tickets, this is an important question?
The symbolic question that arose was that the CFA francs were printed exclusively in France.
That is, by the former colonizer. It felt like we weren't totally out of the
colonization. Now that we are moving on to the eco and that probably there will be other countries that
do not belong to the franc zone that will make their entry, it will be necessary to define the places and the modalities
eco.
printing
In the long term, do you think that the gain in competitiveness will be so important for the West African zone?
If other countries choose eco, it will expand the final market. If a country like Ghana, which is the >
second economy of ECOWAS just in front of Côte d'Ivoire, enters the eco, it will enlarge the space
economical. In addition, having the same currency reduces transaction costs, it cancels out the risks of
changes. After that, there is an element that has nothing to do with money, but is essential to increase the
Exchanges, it is that we have to transform the raw materials on the spot.
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