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OF Morning Brief

08/04/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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In the wake of the rebound observed on Asian stock exchanges, European stock markets should open sharply on Tuesday.


Channel Tunnel Manager Getlink published its traffic figures for March on Tuesday. Passenger shuttle traffic fell by 16% over one year, while truck shuttle traffic grew by 2% over one year.
An investigation by the consumer association UFC-Que Choisir published on Tuesday denounces the lump-sum minimas used by some banks for small overdrafts by their customers in France.

The manufacturer of seamless tubes for the energy industry Vallourec announced on Tuesday that it had obtained a contract for the delivery of tubes for drilling operations from the Algerian national oil and gas company, Sonatrach.

Around 7:40 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract grew by 2.7%, according to data from broker IG.

Major French industrial groups are meeting at the Ministry of the Economy on Tuesday to find a common position in the face of the trade war launched by the United States. Last week, President Emmanuel Macron called on manufacturers to suspend their investments in America.

Around 7:40 a.m., the DAX 40 futures contract in Frankfurt gained 2.3%, while the FTSE 100 in London gained 2.4%, according to data from broker IG.

The New York Stock Exchange went through severe turmoil on Monday before limiting its fall to the close, despite threats from Donald Trump to further increase the tariffs imposed on China.

The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) lost 0.9%, to 37,965.60 points, while the S&P 500 stabilized at the end of the session, ending with a short drop of 0.2%, at 5,062.25 points. The Nasdaq Composite, rich in technological stocks, even managed to gain 0.1%, to 15,603.26 points, after posting losses of more than 4% during the session.
The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.6%, while the Hang Seng on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange rose 0.1%.

In Asia, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange jumped 6% on Tuesday at the end of trading.

Treasury bond yields were down. Markets remain volatile as many investors fear that tariffs could cripple the economy and drive up prices. According to economists at BNP Paribas, the American Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March, which is due to be published on Thursday, could show an impact of the first tariffs. The consensus in a Wall Street Journal survey sees the 12-month CPI at 2.5%, down from 2.8% in February. BNP Paribas forecasts 2.6%.

Around 7:40 a.m., the two-year US Treasury bond yield lost 3 basis points, to 3.74%. That of the 10-year stock lost 1 basis point (0.01 percentage point), to 4.17%. The 10-year rate fell below 4% on Thursday for the first time in six months.

This morning, the US dollar is down. Trump's tariffs were initially supposed to boost the greenback, as import taxes are expected to increase demand for dollars

.

Around 7:40 a.m., the euro gained 0.5% to 1.0956 dollars. The greenback lost 0.1% against the Japanese currency, to 147.72 yen.

Due to a probable technical rebound, oil futures rose after falling for a third consecutive session. Citi Research recommended that investors and consumers refrain from investing in commodities, including oil, until a 'Fed Put' or a 'Trump Put' occurs.
According to Maximilian J. Layton, global head of commodity research at Citi Research, “any rebound this week in stocks or delays in imposing the April 9 tariffs would provide opportunities to sell the rebounds.”

UOB reported that two key risks against Brent crude oil have further worsened. The first key risk is a further slowdown in global growth due to the chaotic deployment of punitive reciprocal tariffs. The second key risk is the return of OPEC+ production volume more than expected. UOB has lowered its forecast for Brent from 5 dollars to 65 dollars per barrel for the second and third quarters of 2025 and from 5 dollars to 60 dollars per barrel for the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter

of 2026.

The May contract for soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex rose 79 cents, or 1.3%, to $61.49 per barrel. Around 7:40 a.m., the June contract for North Sea Brent traded in London rose by 72 cents, or 1.1%, to 64.94

dollars per barrel.
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