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OF Morning Brief

23/05/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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While fears in the US bond market have subsided, European equity markets are expected to open higher on Friday.

This Friday, Exosens and TotalEnergies are holding their annual general meeting.

This Friday morning, INSEE will unveil the latest figures on household confidence in May.
The Dutch distributor Ahold Delhaize tried at the end of 2024 to buy its French competitor Carrefour before throwing in the towel last January, La Lettre reported on Friday.
At around 7:40am, the CAC 40 futures contract was up by 0.2%, according to data from
broker IG.

European stock futures were up. Concerns about a wave of bond sales have subsided. According to data from broker IG, the DAX 40 futures contract in Frankfurt was up 0.1%, while the FTSE 100 in London gained 0.3%, around 7:40am. While none of the issues they seemed to raise were recent, a global wave of sovereign bond sales this week took investors by surprise

.

Moody's decision to remove its top credit rating in the United States a week ago seems to have triggered a major sales movement, while countries such as the United States and Japan have been dealing with heavy debts for decades. According to Jens Nordvig of Exante Data, with the deterioration of growth expectations in the United States and the sidelining of the Federal Reserve, it seems that the selling pressure on bonds could persist

.

The New York Stock Exchange ended in scattered order on Thursday, torn between good economic indicators and concerns about the American budget that continue to keep bond rates under pressure. The Dow Jones index ended almost unchanged at 41,859.09 points while the S&P 500 lost 0.04% to 5,842.01 points. The Nasdaq, rich in technology stocks, rebounded by 0.3% to 18,925.74

points.

In Asia, the Nikkei 225 index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange rose by 0.5% on Friday at the end of trading. The Shanghai Composite Index was down 0.1%, while the Hang Seng on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange gained 0.6%.


After Moody's removed its triple-A credit rating in the United States last week, Treasury yields fell slightly on Thursday afternoon, offering a respite from a wave of sales that picked up momentum on Monday.

Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, “just like with the tariffs last month, we are on the verge of discovering what level of bond and S&P 500 returns are needed for Donald Trump and Congress to correct the course on a totally unsustainable fiscal policy.”

Around 7:40 a.m., the 10-year US Treasury bond rate was stable at 4.54%, as was the two-year bond rate at 4.00%.

Tim Baker of Deutsche Bank said that the reaction of markets to growing fiscal uncertainty in the United States could be more harmful to the dollar than to Treasuries. For the latter, “Treasuries could benefit from some support in the long term, as domestic investors turn away from equities, but the withdrawal of foreign investors would continue to work against the dollar

.”

Around 7:40, the euro advanced by 0.3% to 1.1312 dollars. The greenback lost 0.3% against the Japanese currency, to 143.55 yen.

Driven down by the possibility of another sharp increase in OPEC+ production for July, oil fell early on Friday. Citi sees “very binary geopolitical risks” around American negotiations on the Iranian nuclear program and the war between Russia and Ukraine. Citi indicates that “geopolitics remains essential for the next evolution of oil up to $70 per Brent, or down to $50

.”

The June contract for soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex sold 31 cents (-0.5%) to $60.89 per barrel. Around 7:40 a.m., the July contract for North Sea Brent traded in London lost 30 cents, or 0.5%, to 64.14

dollars per barrel.
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