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OF Morning Report

13/11/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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European stock markets are expected to open higher on Monday. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,197.36 points (-0.75%), the CAC 40 at 7,045.04 points (-0.96%), the DAX 40 at 15,234.39 points (-0.77%), the FTSE 100 at 7,360.55 points (-1.28%), the SMI at 10,555.35 points (-0.84%), the AEX at 746.31 points (-0.38%), the BEL 20 at 3,438.86 points (-1.15%), the IBEX 35 at 9,371.70 points (-0.36%), the DJIA at 34.283.10 points (+1.15%), the Nasdaq at 13,798.11 points (+2.05%), the S&P 500 at 4,415.24 points (+1.56%), and the Nikkei 225 at 32.58,56 5,11 points (+0.05%

).

With regard to exchange rates, the change compared to the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD was at 1.0686 (0.00%), the EUR/JPY at 162.18 (+0.18%), and the USD/JPY at 151.78 (+0.17%).

The mining group Eramet is holding a “Capital Market Day” this Monday, while Solvay is organizing an investor day during which the chemist will present his proposed division.


In the wake of Wall Street's rise on Friday, European stock markets are expected to open higher this morning. The consumer price index for October in the United States will be published this week. Also, the first summit between the American and Chinese presidents, Joe Biden and Xi Jinping, will be held in a year. The DAX 40 contract gained 38 points, or 0.3%, and the FTSE 100 contract rose by 20 points, or 0.3%, according to data from the broker IG. The CAC 40 futures contract gained 20 points, or 0.3%,

at around 7:40 a.m.

The US inflation figures in October are the main economic event this week for markets. Economists expect a further slowdown in global inflation in October, to 0.1% on a month and 3.3% on a year, compared to 0 .4% and 3.7% respectively in September. But for them, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, could have stabilized at 0.3% over a month and 4.1% over a year. The latter level remains significantly higher than the Fed's inflation target of 2%.

Based on CME Group data on federal fund futures, just after the Fed decided to leave rates unchanged following its latest Fed decision to leave rates unchanged at the end of its last At the first monetary policy meeting in early November, traders had accepted a high probability that the American central bank would start lowering rates at the beginning of next year.

Markets will be watching congressional negotiations this week to avoid another partial federal shutdown, or “shutdown”, starting at midnight (Washington time) on Friday.

Wall Street ended sharply higher on Friday, supported by the tech sector. The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) rose by 1.2%, the expanded S&P 500 gained 1.6% and the nasdaq Composite, rich in tech stocks, gained 2.1%. These gains allowed the Dow Jones Index to rise by 0.7% for the week as a whole, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded increases of

1.3% and 2.4% respectively.

Major Asian markets are up on Monday. The Tokyo Stock Exchange's Nikkei index closed up 0.1%. At the end of the session, the Hang Seng gained 0.3% in Hong Kong and the Shanghai Composite Index gained

0.1%.

As calm returned to the bond market after a poorly received 30-year Treasury auction in the previous session, US Treasury bond yields ended Friday's session in scattered order. The 30-year bond rate fell for the third week in a row, having lost 1.7 basis points over the week as a whole and 35.4 basis points over the past three weeks. According to Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery, rate strategists at BMO Capital Markets, “over the coming week, inflation will be under fire again in the coming week with the release of the October Consumer Price Index on Tuesday” in the United States

.


The euro is trading against the dollar this morning. According to CBA, the greenback could be supported this week by robust core inflation figures in the United States in October. For the bank, a rise of more than 0.3% over one month in the core consumer price index could encourage financial markets to incorporate a higher probability of a further increase in Fed interest rates and support the dollar

.


Due to growing concerns about demand and a weakening geopolitical risk premium, oil futures are pulling back this morning. Concerns about the supply of crude oil have significantly abated and the geopolitical risk premium has declined, reports Ping An Securities. At around 7:30am, the December contract for mild crude oil (WTI) traded on Nymex sold 61 cents to $76.56 per barrel and the January contract for North Sea Brent lost 60 cents to $80.83

.
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