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OF Morning Report

21/12/2023
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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In the wake of Wall Street, European stock markets are expected to be in the red. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,533.82 points (-0.03%), the CAC 40 at 7,583.43 points (+0.12%), the DAX 40 at 16,733.05 points (-0.07%), the FTSE 100 at 7,715.68 points (+1.02%), the SMI at 11,144.88 points (-0.01%), the AEX at 793.69 points (+0.15%), the BEL 20 at 3,652.82 points (-2.40%), the IBEX 35 at 10,101.00 points (-0.06%), the DJIA at 37,082.00 points (-1.27%), the Nasdaq at 14,777.94 points (-1.50%), the S&P 500 at 4,698.35 points (-1.47%), and the Nikkei 225 at 33.140.47 47 points (-1.59%

).

With respect to exchange rates, the change compared to the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD was at 1.0954 (+0.10%), the EUR/JPY at 156.67 (-0.26%), and the USD/JPY at 143.03 (-0.37%).


The insurer Axa announced that its subsidiary Axa France Vie has concluded a reinsurance contract with Axa Réassurance Vie France (ARVF), which will cover a total of 12 billion euros in savings reserves. According to the press release from Axa, this operation should have a positive effect of 2 points on the group's Solvency II ratio at 31 December 2023, but lead to a reduction in annual operating profit of around 50 million euros starting in 2024

.

Investors will follow December business climate figures on Thursday. The renewable energy producer Neoen announced on Wednesday evening that it had won a call for tenders from the Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) to build four photovoltaic power plants representing a total maximum power of 104.4 megawatt

peak (MWc).

In the wake of the Wall Street pullback the day before, with investors pausing after several sessions in the green, European equity markets are expected to open lower on Thursday. According to data from the broker IG, CAC 40 futures lost 45 points, or 0.6%, at 7:30. The DAX 40 contract fell by 72 points, or 0.4%, and the FTSE 100 contract dropped

42 points, or 0.5%.

Wall Street ended the year-end rally on Wednesday that pushed the Dow Jones Index (DJIA) to new all-time highs in hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut next year. The expanded S&P 500 lost 1.5% to 4,698.35 points. The Nasdaq Composite also dropped 1.5% to 14,777.94 points. The DJIA fell by 1.3%, 37,082 points, dropping more than 470 points from its all-time record the previous day, the fifth in

a row.

Economists expect a slight downward revision of US growth, to 5.1% over one year instead of the 5.2% previously announced.

Asian markets posted a mixed performance on Thursday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index dropped 1.6%, while the Hang Seng on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange fell by 0.1% at the end of the session. At the same time, the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.5%

.


After the release of data on inflation in the United Kingdom that fuelled hopes of a fall in interest rates by major central banks in 2024, bond yields from the United States, the eurozone and the United Kingdom fell on Wednesday. After 4.6% in October, inflation slowed to 3.9% over one year in November in the

United Kingdom.

The euro rose slightly against the dollar this morning. According to recently released data, the U.S. economy is slowing enough to curb inflation, but not enough for the country to go into recession. The PCE inflation figures will provide further guidance to investors on the future trajectory of inflation and interest rates, and these figures are expected on Friday. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, operators estimate that there is an 87.6% probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged, between 5.25% and 5.5%, on January 31. The probability of a rate cut of at least 25 basis points by March is estimated at 82.5%, compared to 27.5% a month ago.


While the U.S. Department of Energy reported a 2.9 million barrel rise in crude inventories in the United States last week, crude oil prices fell this morning. The strength of the dollar is fuelling this decline. The currency often has an inverse correlation with crude oil prices

.

Around 7:20 a.m., the February contract for mild crude oil (WTI) listed on Nymex sold 11 cents, at $74.11 the North Sea Brent lost 6 cents, to $79.64 per barrel.

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