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OF Morning Report

12/01/2024
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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Equity markets expected to rise ahead of US bank results. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,442.28 points (-0.60%), the CAC 40 at 7,387.62 points (-0.52%), the DAX 40 at 16,547.03 points (-0.86%), the FTSE 100 at 7,576.59 points (-0.60%), the FTSE 100 at 7,576.59 points (-0.60%), the SMI at 11,153.62 points (-0.90%), the AEX at 774.54 points (-0.86%), the FTSE 100 at 7,576.59 points (-0.98%), the SMI at 11,153.62 points (-0.90%), the AEX at 774.54 points (-0.86%), the FTSE 100 at 7,576.59 points (-0.60%), the SMI at 11,57.62 points (-0.90%), the AEX at 774.54 points (-0.8-0.06%), the BEL 20 at 3,659.44 points (-1.24%), the IBEX 35 at 10,004.90 points (-0.62%), the DJIA at 37,711.02 points (+0.04%), the Nasdaq at 14,970.19 points (-1.24%), the IBEX 35 at 10,004.90 points (-0.62%), the DJIA at 37,711.02 points (+0.04%), the Nasdaq at 14,970.19 points (-1.24%), the Nasdaq at 14,970.19 points (+0.00%), and the Nikkei 225 at 35. 577.11 points (+1.50%)

.

As for exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD is at 1.0975 (+0.03%), the EUR/JPY at 159.15 (-0.15%), and the USD/JPY at 145.02 (-0.18%), and the USD/JPY at 145.02 (-0.18%).

The final statistics on consumer prices in December will be published at 8:45am, as will household consumption in November.

European aircraft manufacturer Airbus delivered 735 commercial aircraft in 2023, compared to 661 the previous year, an increase of 11%. The group exceeded its goal of delivering around 720 devices in 2023, as well as the average expectations of analysts surveyed by FactSet, of 722 deliveries. On Thursday evening, Vinci raised its free cash flow target for the past year, taking into account higher-than-expected cash inflows at the end of the year and the delay in some investments.

Despite the pullback in Wall Street futures, European equity markets are expected to open higher on Friday, while investors monitor developments in the Middle East and await the release of the results of several major American banks. According to data from broker IG, the DAX 40 contract took 107.9 points, or 0.7%, and the FTSE 100 contract grew by 33.3 points, or 0.4%. The CAC 40 futures contract gained 54.1 points, or 0.7%,

around 7:40am.

The words of the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, about the fact that interest rates in the eurozone have reached their peak, could support the indices at the beginning of the session. After the announcement of a slight acceleration in inflation in the United States, which could lead to the maintenance of high interest rates for longer than expected, the New York Stock Exchange closed close to balance on Thursday

.

The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the country's consumer price index increased by 3.4% year on year in December, compared with a 3.1% increase in November and when economists' consensus was 3.2%. Inflation excluding food and energy slowed slightly less than expected in December, to 3.9% over one year

.

The main Asian markets present a contrasting landscape on Friday. The Nikkei index gained 1.5% in Tokyo, but the Shanghai Composite lost 0.1% at the end of the session and, in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng

lost 0.2%.


Today, US Treasury yields are up slightly. According to Jon Maier, chief investment officer at Global X, “this rise in the consumer price index is a crucial reminder of the unpredictability of economic recovery and the difficulty in deciphering macroeconomic data.” According to him, “markets may need to prepare for some volatility, as the Fed could maintain or potentially intensify its restrictive monetary policy in response to these inflationary pressures.” The inflation numbers did not change the market's position on the timing and extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts. At around 7:20am, the 2-year US Treasury rate rose by less than 2 basis points, to 4.279%. And that of the 10-year stock gained 1 basis point, to 3.982%

.


The euro is stable this morning against the dollar, but is losing ground against the yen, like the greenback. According to Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at financial services firm Ebury, after the announcement of higher-than-expected inflation in the United States in December, the dollar could further appreciate in the short term if Fed officials continue to cast doubt on the chances of an initial rate cut in March

.


This morning, oil futures rose sharply, after strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen by a coalition led by the United States. According to analysts at Saxo Markets, the risk of escalation could discourage markets and further support crude oil prices. While the February contract on soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex rose by 1.62 dollars, or 2.3%, to 73.64 dollars per barrel, the March contract on North Sea Brent gained 1.67 dollars, or 2.2%, to 79.08 dollars per barrel,

at 7:15am.
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