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OF Morning Report

16/01/2024
Categories: General Information

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European stock exchanges are expected to give ground in the face of new geopolitical tensions. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,454.68 points (-0.57%), the CAC 40 at 7,411.68 points (-0.72%), the DAX 40 at 16,622.22 points (-0.49%), the FTSE 100 at 7,594.91 points (-0.57%), the FTSE 100 at 7,594.91 points (-0.57%), the SMI at 11,207.51 points (-0.17%), the AEX at 779.49 points (-0.49%), the FTSE 100 at 7,594.91 points (-0.39%), the SMI at 11,207.51 points (-0.17%), the AEX at 779.49 points (-0.49%), the FTSE 100 at 7,594.91 points (-0.57%), the SMI at 11,207.51 points (-0.17%), the AEX at 779.49 points (-0.49%), the 30%), the BEL 20 at 3,667.32 points (-0.45%), the IBEX 35 at 10,076.90 points (-0.18%), the DJIA at 37,592.98 points (-0.31%) (closing on January 12) (closing on January 12), the Nasdaq at 14,972.76 points (-0,45%), the Nasdaq at 14,972.76 points (+0.02%) (closing on January 12), the S&P 500 at 4. 783.83 points (+0.08%) (closing on January 12), and the Nikkei 225

at 35,619.18 points (-0.79%).

As for exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD is at 1.0915 (-0.35%), the EUR/JPY at 159.58 (-0.35%), the EUR/JPY at 159.58 (-0.02%), and the USD/JPY at 146.21 (+0.32%).

The outdoor communication specialist JCDecaux announced yesterday evening the renewal of its contracts with the Hong Kong Transport Authority (MTR) for a period of five years. The amount of these contracts was not disclosed. For its part, the investment company Eurazeo announced an additional investment, which was not quantified, in the European specialist in fast charging electric vehicles Electra.
Today, airport operators Groupe ADP and Vinci Airports, a subsidiary of Vinci, present their traffic figures in December and for the whole of 2023. The digital services company Capgemini and the telecommunications operator Orange announced the launch of the commercial activities of their joint venture Bleu, specialized in dematerialized computing (“cloud”) services that meet the needs of sovereignty and data protection.

At the opening on Tuesday, European equity markets are expected to continue to fall, in a tense geopolitical context. According to data from broker IG, the DAX 40 contract gave up 81 points, or 0.5%, and the FTSE 100 contract gave up 22 points, or 0.3%. The CAC 40 futures contract lost 34 points, or 0.5%,

at 7:35am.

Michael Wan, currency analyst at MUFG Bank, said that tensions in the Middle East and the Red Sea have worsened. According to him, Houthi militants fired a missile at an American container ship in the Gulf of

Aden.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Iran also claimed responsibility last night for an attack on what it described as Israeli spy bases in Iraq, in retaliation for Israel's assassination of commanders and allies. The markets Asians are suffering from this situation on Tuesday. The Nikkei index ended down 0.8% as investors caught their breath after a series of hikes that allowed the Tokyo Stock Exchange's flagship index to hit its highest closing level since February 1990 on Monday. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index lost 2.1% at the end of the session. At the same time, the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.3%

.

On the economic front, a survey of chief economists revealed that three-quarters of them expect low or very low growth in Europe this year, which is the most pessimistic outlook among all regions. gions

.


This morning, US Treasury bond yields are rising. Tiffany Wilding, an economist, and Andrew Balls, director of fixed income investments at Pimco, said in a report on the outlook for 2024, that the opportunities in the global bond markets are more attractive than they were in the last ten years. For these investors, “investors with broad global platforms have access to a diverse range of bond exposures and a wide variety of sources of potential return.”


This morning, the euro fell sharply against the dollar. Geopolitical risks are fuelling demand for the greenback as a safe haven. The single currency lost 0.3% to 1.0923 dollars at

7:35am.


This morning, oil futures are trading little, in a context of risk aversion. According to UOB Global Economics & Markets Research, markets have generally relaxed. This seems to offset geopolitical risks and fears of a drop in production due to a cold spell in the United States. According to RBC Capital Markets, current oil prices reflect neither the risk of contagion, nor Iran's proven capacity to destabilize and its desire to internationalize the costs of a confrontation. For the financial intermediary, “Iran remains the main unknown in the equation of this war [between Israel and Hamas] and if it were to get directly involved in the conflict, it could have a significant impact on oil prices.”

The February contract on soft light crude (WTI) traded on Nymex lost 30 cents, to 72.38 dollars per barrel, while the March contract on North Sea Brent lost 5 cents, to 78.11 dollars per barrel, at 7:25am.

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