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OF Morning Report

18/03/2024
Categories: General Information

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European stock markets are expected to open higher pending decisions from central banks. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,986.02 points (-0.14%), the CAC 40 at 8,164.35 points (+0.04%), the DAX 40 at 17,936.65 points (-0.03%), the FTSE 100 at 7,727.42 points (-0.14%), the FTSE 100 at 7,727.42 points (-0.20%); the SMI at 11,676.13 points (-0.38%), the AEX at 851.78 points (-0.03%), the FTSE 100 at 7,727.42 points (-0.20%); the SMI at 11,676.13 points (-0.38%), the AEX at 851.78 points (-0.03%), the FTSE 100 at 7,727.42 points (-0.14%), the FTSE 100 at 7,727.42 points (-0.20%), the SMI at 11,676.13 points -0.81%), the BEL 20 at 3,684.20 points (-0.21%), the IBEX 35 at 10,597.90 points (+1.02%) and the Nikkei 225 at 39,740.44

points (+2.67%).

As far as exchange rates are concerned, the change from the close in New York indicates that the EUR/USD at 1.0889 (-0.01%), the EUR/JPY at 162.35 (+0.01%), the USD/JPY at 149.10 (+0.01%), the EUR/JPY at 162.35 (+0.01%), the USD/JPY at 149.10 (+0.01%).

On Friday evening, the construction and concessions group Vinci announced that the number of passengers at airports managed by its subsidiary Vinci Airports jumped by 14.4% in February over one year, thanks in particular to a calendar effect. For its part, Vinci Autoroutes' traffic fell in February, by 2.1% over one year, penalized by farmers' blockages

.

Around 7:30, the CAC 40 futures contract took 12 points, or 0.1%, according to data from the broker IG, while the one on the DAX 40 gained 50 points, or 0.3%. The FTSE 100 contract increased by 13 points, or 0.2%. The CAC 40 ended Friday at a new record close of 8,164.35

points.

The Bank of England (BOE) should also leave its key interest rate unchanged on Thursday, at 5.25%, and confirm its forward-looking indications, say analysts at Nomura. However, the BOE could slightly change the way in which its press release is worded, they add. The Bank of Japan (BOJ), which will make its decision on Tuesday, could for its part raise its key short-term interest rate, currently to -0.1%. Investors are still torn between a rise in rates in March or April.

Industrial production grew by 7% in January-February compared to the corresponding period in 2023, compared to an increase of 6.8% in December, the National Bureau of Statistics announced on Monday. economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal expected an increase of 5%. Investors are now waiting for the final eurozone inflation figures for February. The first estimate, published on 1 March, reported a rise of 2.6% over one year in consumer prices in February, after 2.8% in January and 2.9% in

December.

In Asia, markets rose on Monday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index rose 2.7%, on the eve of the BOJ decision. The Hang Seng gained 0.2% at the end of the session in Hong Kong, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained

0.6%.

US Treasury bond yields ended up on Friday, allowing the 10-year bond yield to record its strongest weekly increase in nearly five months in reaction to data recently released on inflation in the United States in February. Financial markets are also waiting for the monetary policy decision by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Tuesday. The central bank could end its negative interest rate policy by raising interest rates for the first time in 17 years, economists say.

The euro was stable on Monday morning against the dollar, ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting. In addition, the yen could continue to fluctuate sharply, given the risks associated with events expected this week, in particular the announcements of major central banks, says Westpac Strategy Group. The dollar/yen pair is expected to hit the 150 mark before the Bank of Japan's decision, the financial intermediary adds

.

Oil prices rose on Monday morning, but a barrel of Brent seems to be stuck in a tight range, according to BMI. The market lacks conviction, with supply and demand risks pulling prices in opposite directions, BMI said. The financial intermediary adds that mixed signals will continue to predominate in the second quarter, as macroeconomic headwinds weigh on Brent, while geopolitical risks support it. At around 7:20am, the May contract on North Sea Brent gained 34 cents, at 85.68 dollars per barrel, while the April contract on light sweet crude (WTI) listed on the Nymex rose 36 cents, at 81.40 dollars per

barrel.
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