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OF Morning Report

15/04/2024
Source : ORISHAS-FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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Les Bourses européennes devraient ouvrir en ordre dispersed in the face of escalating tensions in the Middle East. The EuroStoxx 50 opens at 4,955.01 points (-0.23%), the CAC 40 at 8,010.83 points (-0.16%), the DAX 40 at 17,930.32 points (-0.16%), the DAX 40 at 17,930.32 points (-0.13%), the FTSE 100 at 7,995.58 points (+0.91%), the SMI at 11,379.58 points (-0.75%), the AEX at 883.45 points (-0.04%), the BEL 20 at 3,850.04 points (+0.34%), the IBEX 35 at 10,686.00 points (+0.34%), the DJIA at 37,983.24 points (-1.24%), the Nasdaq & Agrave; 16,175.09 points (-1.62%), the S&P 500 at 5,123.41 points (-1.46%), the Nikkei 225 at 39,149.74 points (-0.95%

).

As for exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD is 1.0651 (+0.08%), the EUR/JPY at 163.85 (+0.08%), the EUR/JPY at 163.85 (+0.08%), the EUR/JPY at 163.85 (+0.08%), the EUR/JPY at 163.85 (+0.08%), and the USD/JPY at 163.85 (+0.37%).

BNP Paribas bank announced the signing of an agreement to acquire, through its insurance subsidiary BNP Paribas Cardif, the approximately 9% stake held by the Chinese group Fosun in the Belgian insurer Ageas, owned by the Chinese group Fosun. In its press release, the purchaser indicated that “the total price is estimated at around 730 million euros, corresponding to a marginal impact on the Common Equity Tier One (CET1) ratio of the BNP Paribas group of around 2 basis points”. He reported a sale of 8.19% of the capital of Ageas in three stages, for a maximum amount of 670 million euros and specified that he would maintain a residual stake

of around 1%.

Investors are also expecting the start of the French corporate publishing season for the first quarter of 2024 this week, as well as a series of annual general meetings.

As traders monitor the situation in the Middle East following Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend, European equity markets are expected to start the week in scattered order. According to data from broker IG, the CAC 40 futures contract took 25 points, or 0.3%, at 7:30. The one on the DAX 40 gained 58 points, or 0.3% as well. On the other hand, the FTSE 100 contract fell by 31 points,

or 0.4%.

Asian markets were trading in a mixed manner on Monday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index dropped 0.9% at the end of the session. Hang Seng lost 0.6% in Hong Kong. On the other hand, the Shanghai Composite index rose 1.3%, while the People's Bank of China (PBOC) left” its

reference rates unchanged.

Supported by escalating tensions in the Middle East, US Treasury yields are rising this morning. The sales movement triggered last week by higher-than-expected inflation figures in the United States intensified following weak demand for the issuance of $39 billion in 10-year Treasury bills. Investors have also shown mixed interest in auctioning US three- and 30-year bonds. According to James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds, “the market has changed its approach considerably. The consumer price index [in March in the US] called into question everyone's views on the trajectory of Fed policy.”

This morning, the euro appreciated against the dollar. Due to possible position adjustments, safe haven currencies such as the yen and the dollar are weakening slightly. Operators are monitoring the evolution of the situation in the Middle East. According to Saxo Markets, the market reaction has been subdued so far, but some volatility and nervousness can be expected as investors watch for any new information relating to

the Middle East.

At the start of the week, oil futures are retreating, ignoring the escalation of tensions in the Middle East. ANZ indicates that oil prices are unlikely to skyrocket in the short term, given the extent of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)'s available capabilities and an already high geopolitical risk premium. According to him, the market has been nervous since October, when the conflict between Hamas and Israel began, and concerns have long been raised about the possible involvement of Iran.

Oil markets may therefore react little to the latest news about Iran's attack on Israel, with Tehran saying it considers the case closed, the bank added. Nonetheless, Israel's response to this attack will determine whether the escalation ends or continues

.

Around 7:20 a.m., the June North Sea Brent contract lost 37 cents to $90.08 per barrel, while the May contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on Nymex lost 43 cents to $85.23 per barrel.

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