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OF Morning Report

07/10/2024
Categories: General Information

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European equity markets are expected to rise in the wake of Asia. However, the Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,954.94 points (+0.68%), the CAC 40 at 7,541.36 points (+0.85%), the DAX 40 at 19,120.93 points (+0.55%), the FTSE 100 at 8,280.63 points (+0.68%), the SMI at 11,997.09 points (-0.13%), the AEX at 911.81 points (+0.55%), the FTSE 100 at 8,280.63 points (-0.02%), the SMI at 11,997.09 points (-0.13%), the AEX at 911.81 points (+0.13%), the AEX at 911.81 points (+0.55%), the FTSE 100 at 8,280.63 points (-0.02%), the SMI at 11,997.09 points (-0.13%), the AEX 40 +0.16%), the BEL 20 at 4,290.90 points (+0.13%), the IBEX 35 at 11,659.20 points (+0.35%), the DJIA at 42,352.75 points (+0.81%), the Nasdaq at 18,137.85 points (+0.13%), the IBEX 35 at 11,659.20 points (+0.35%), the DJIA at 42,352.75 points (+0.81%), the Nasdaq at 18,137.85 points (+0.13%), the Nasdaq at 18,137.85 points (+1.13%), the S&P 500 at 5,751.07 points (+0.90%) and the Nikkei 225 to 39,501.86 points (

+2.24%).

On the exchange rate side, the change from the close in New York indicates that EUR/USD opened at 1.0972 (-0.05%), EUR/JPY at 162.85 (-0.24%) and USD/JPY at 148.43 (-0.20%).

European equity markets are expected to open higher on Monday, following the same trend as Asian stock indexes, buoyed by the hope of a soft landing for the American economy. At around 7:30am, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 22.5 points, or 0.3%, according to data from broker IG. The one on the DAX 40 took 53.8 points, or 0.3%, and the one on the FTSE 100 gained 19.7 points, or 0.3%

as well.

The New York Stock Exchange closed sharply higher on Friday, after announcing job creations that were higher than expected in the United States. This increase has allowed Wall Street to approach its historical records after having been destabilized in recent days by the intensification of the conflict in the Middle East. For the whole week, the DJIA and Nasdaq gained 0.1% and the S&P 500 gained 0.2%

.

Investors are waiting for the release of the September Consumer Price Index on Thursday to reinforce their opinion on the direction of the American economy after the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 50 basis points last month. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 index gained 2.2% at the end of trading in Tokyo, while the Hang Seng Index gained 1.2% on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The mainland Chinese stock exchanges are still closed during this holiday week in the country

.

China could unveil a package of fiscal measures of 1,500 billion to 2,000 billion yuan (194.82 billion to 259.76 billion euros) in the short term, say UBS economists in a research note. According to them, these measures could be divided between supporting households and businesses, and helping to finance local authorities. Economists expect these stimulus measures to be announced after the “golden week” holiday in China. By 2025, UBS estimates that Beijing could put in place a new fiscal support plan of 2,000 billion to 3,000 billion yuan

.

US Treasury bond yields continued to rise Monday morning. Around 7:10 a.m., the 10-year loan rate rose 2.1 basis points to 3.983%. That of the two-year stock rose 3.4 basis points, to 3.962%

.

Rates last week saw their biggest rise in nearly two years, after the announcement on Friday of much higher-than-expected job creation in the non-farm sector, which reduced the likelihood of a further sharp cut in Fed interest rates next month.

The euro gave some ground on Monday against the dollar on Monday morning. The single currency and the greenback are falling against the Japanese currency. The dollar remains “trending higher after the good employment figures in the United States and the revision of the outlook for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve,” Maybank analysts say in a foreign exchange market research note. The federal fund futures market now estimates the chances of a 25 basis point cut in rates by the Fed in November at 97.8 percent, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut was estimated at 35 percent last Thursday, they add

.

Oil prices fell on Monday morning. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) does not seem to be able to support black gold prices, amid concerns about economic growth and demand, says ANZ Research. At around 7:30am, the December Brent contract listed in London lost 29 cents to 77.76 dollars per barrel. The November contract for soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex sold 18 cents to $74.20

per barrel.

Operators are taking a record number of options to bet on a rise in Brent, JPMorgan points out, with many expecting oil to exceed $100 a barrel.

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