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OF Morning Report

15/10/2024
Categories: General Information

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Equity markets are expected to rise after record highs on Wall Street. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 5,041.01 points (+0.74%), the CAC 40 at 7,602.06 points (+0.32%), the DAX 40 at 19,508.29 points (+0.69%), the BEL 20 at 4.310.53 points (+0.74%), the IBEX 40 at 7,602.06 points (+0.32%), the DJIA at 43,065.22 points (+0.69%), the BEL 20 at 4,310.53 points (+0.74%), the IBEX 35 at 11,850.90 points (+1.12%), the DJIA at 43,065.22 points points (+0.47%), the Nasdaq at 18,502.69 points (+0.87%), the S&P 500 at 5,859.85 points (+0.77%) and the Nikkei 225 at 40,071.22

points (+1.18%).

As for exchange rates, the change from the close in New York indicates that the EUR/USD was 1.0895 (-0.15%), the EUR/JPY at 163.12 (-0.15%), and the USD/JPY at 149.73 (-0.15%), and the USD/JPY at 149.73 (-0.02%).

LVMH published its third-quarter sales on Tuesday, while Vinci presented traffic figures for its airports and motorways for the month of September. The construction and concessions group announced on Monday evening that it had won, as part of a joint venture with John Holland, the contract to modernise a section of railway line located in the state of Queensland, in northeastern Australia. The total cost of the work is 432 million euros.

On the macroeconomic side, the final inflation statistics for the month of September will be released at 8:45am.

European equity markets are expected to open higher on Tuesday, in the wake of the rise on Wall Street, which allowed the S&P 500 index to reach a new record, while investors await new earnings releases in the banking sector in the United States. At around 7:40am, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 12.6 points, or 0.2%, according to data from broker IG. The one on the DAX 40 was up 52.9 points, or 0.3%, and the one on the FTSE 100 was up 18.8 points,

or 0.2%.

Attention is turning to the next meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday, during which a further cut in interest rates is widely expected.

The ECB could reach the end of its restrictive policy and economists are planning a series of cuts to avoid a contraction in the economy.

Investors will be watching the release of industrial production figures in the eurozone for the month of August on Tuesday, as well as the ZEW Business Climate Index in Germany for October on Tuesday.

The New York Stock Exchange rose to new highs on Monday at the close, bringing the Dow Jones above 43,000 points for the first time in its history thanks to a new wave of optimism in the tech compartment. The expanded S&P 500 index also beat its previous record on Friday by ending with a gain of 0.8% to

5,858.85 points.

nVidia (+2.4%, to 138.07 dollars) broke a new record on Monday, the first since June 18, to get even closer to Apple (+1.7%) at the top of American market capitalizations. The valuation of the graphics processor manufacturer reached nearly 3.4 trillion dollars, compared to more than 3.5 trillion dollars for that of the apple brand

.

Asian equity markets are trading in a mixed manner on Tuesday morning. The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.5% and the Hang Seng fell by 1.3% on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, while the Nikkei 225 index gained 1.2%. The Tokyo Stock Exchange was closed on Monday for a holiday.

US Treasury bond yields presented a mixed picture on Tuesday morning. At 7:15am, the 10-year loan rate fell by 1.1 basis points to 4.094%. That of the two-year stock rose by 0.7 basis points to 3.973%

.

The bond market was closed in the United States on Monday for a holiday.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller said at a conference on Monday that the central bank should be cautious about cutting rates at its next meetings, in order not to fuel inflation again while the economy is slowing little.

The euro fell on Monday against the dollar and yen, while the greenback was stable against the Japanese currency. The DXY index, which measures the evolution of the dollar against a basket of currencies, is stable at 103.30. It exceeded the threshold of 103 for the first time since mid-August, as Fed officials confirmed the prospect of a gradual reduction in interest rates in the United

States.

Oil prices fell on Tuesday morning, as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) further lowered its forecast for demand growth in 2024, for the third consecutive month. In addition, Israel assured the Biden administration that the country was considering striking military or intelligence targets in Iran, not its nuclear or oil sites, American officials told the Wall Street Journal. According to Citi, crude oil prices may hit triple digits if the Middle East conflict disrupts supply, even if market fundamentals are weak. Citi raised its projections for the price of a barrel to 120 dollars, from 80 dollars previously, for the fourth quarter and the first quarter of 2025, while attributing to this scenario a probability of 20%, compared to 10%

previously.

Around 7:10 a.m., the December Brent contract listed in London lost $2.85, or 3.7%, to $74.61 per barrel. The November contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on Nymex fell by 2.72 dollars, or 3.7% as well, to 71.09 dollars

per barrel.
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