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OF Morning Report

04/11/2024
Categories: General Information

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This first Monday in November, European equity markets are expected in scattered order in the run-up to the American presidential election. The Eurostoxx 50 at 4,877.75 points (+1.04%), the CAC 40 at 7,409.11 points (+0.80%), the DAX 40 at 19,254.97 points (+0.93%), the FTSE 100 at 8,177.15 points (+1.04%), the CAC 40 at 8,177.15 points (+0.04%), the SMI at 11,967.20 points (+1.48%), the AEX at 883.62 points (+0.93%), the FTSE 100 at 8,177.15 points (+0.04%), the SMI at 11,967.20 points (+1.48%), the AEX at 883.62 points (+0.93%), the FTSE 100 at 8,177.15 points (+1.04%), the SMI at 11,967.20 points (+1.48%) 08%), the Nasdaq at 18,239.92 points (+0.80%), the S&P 500 at 5,728.80 points (+0.41%) and the Nikkei 225 at 38,053.67

points (-2.63%).

On the exchange rate side, the change from the close in New York, the EUR/USD at 1.0899 (+0.58%), the EUR/JPY at 165.53 (-0.58%), the EUR/JPY at 165.53 (-0.14%) and the USD/JPY at 151.90 (-0.72%).

Prime Minister Michel Barnier is meeting his ministers in a seminar on Monday morning, in order to bring out by the end of the year proposals to be implemented over three years, while the current budgetary marathon is testing his coalition. The examination of the second part of the 2025 finance bill will continue on Monday in the Finance Committee. The certification and quality control group Bureau Veritas announced on Monday that it had signed an agreement to acquire the Australian group APP, for an undisclosed amount

.

The international exhibition for the naval defense sector Euronaval opens its doors on Monday at the Paris Nord Villepinte Exhibition Center. The event will end on Thursday

.

On the macroeconomic side, the final manufacturing PMI index for the month of October will appear at 9:50am.

Futures on European equity indices changed little on Monday morning, as a week marked by major events began, including the holding of the presidential election in the United States and the meeting of the monetary policy committee of the American Federal Reserve (Fed).

Around 08:00, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 6 points, or 0.1%, according to data from broker IG. The one on the DAX 40 gained 23.5 points, or 0.1%, and the one on the FTSE 100 gave up 4.5 points, or

just under 0.1%.

Investors expect increased volatility in equities until the final results of the presidential election as well as the elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate across the Atlantic. They are worried about the possibility that it will take days, even weeks, to know the results of these elections, which will close on Tuesday evening

.

Markets are also preparing for the Fed's interest rate decision on Thursday. Many traders expect the American central bank to lower rates by 25 basis points

.

In the eurozone, the releases expected this week include manufacturing orders and industrial production in Germany, which will give a clearer idea of the severity of the economic downturn in Europe's largest economy.

The final PMIs for the manufacturing sector in the eurozone and its member states are analyzed on Monday, before those for the services sector on Wednesday. The day will also be marked by the publication, in the United States, of factory orders for September.

The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) ended the session with a gain of 0.7%, at 42,052.19 points, while the expanded S&P 500 index gained 0.4%, to 5,728.80 points. For its part, Nasdaq, with a strong technological background, advanced by 0.8%, to 18,239.92

points.

In Asia, the Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.2% and 0.7% respectively at the end of the session. The Tokyo Stock Exchange was closed due to a holiday.

The 10-year bond rate ended Friday at 4.397% and the two-year bond ended at 4.24% on Friday.

The euro gained some ground on Monday morning against the dollar, which rose against the yen.

Oil prices rose on Monday morning, amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Near and Middle East, after the Israeli army said it had carried out a commando operation on Lebanese territory, north of Beirut, and captured a high-ranking Hezbollah agent.

Crude prices continue to recover due to fears of escalating tensions between Iran and Israel that would disrupt the supply of black gold, said Axel Rudolph, analyst at IG.

At 8:05 a.m., the January contract on North Sea Brent traded in London gained $1.30, to $74.40, while the December contract on soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex rose by 1.32 dollars, to 70.81 dollars.

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