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OF Morning Brief

05/05/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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At the dawn of a week that will be marked by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting, European stock markets are expected to open slightly lower on Monday, while investors are watching oil prices after the decision of the Organization of Peace-Exporting Countries ; Trole and its allies (OPEC+) to sharply increase their production

in June.

The Financial Markets Authority (AMF) ruled in favor of the minority shareholders who contested the terms of the acquisition by the Bolloré group of three of its subsidiaries, Compagnie du Cambodge, Compagnie du Cambodge, Financière Moncey and Société Industrielle et Financière de l'Artois.

In its reasoned decision to reject the transaction, the regulator considered that the information provided to shareholders was insufficient, in particular on the method of discounting dividends and on the choice not to include cash remuneration over the period in question.

According to data from broker IG, the CAC 40 futures contract lost 0.2%, around 7:40am.

At the start of trading on Monday, European equity markets are expected to fall slightly, while oil prices fall after OPEC+ announcements over the weekend. According to data from broker IG, the DAX 40 futures contract in Frankfurt was down 0.1% at around 7:40am. The London Stock Exchange is closed on Monday for a public holiday. OPEC+ decided on Saturday to increase its production in June more significantly than initially planned

.

After a similar increase in May, the additional production of 411,000 barrels per day is seen as a penalty for countries that overproduce, such as Iraq and Kazakhstan. Analysts at ANZ Research say in a research note that Saudi Arabia, the leader of OPEC+, has warned that it could make further increases in production if these countries don't line up. At around 7:40am, the July contract for North Sea Brent traded in London lost 1.85 dollars, or 3%, to 59.44 dollars per barrel. The June contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on Nymex fell by 1.9 dollars, or 3.3%, to 56.35 dollars

per barrel.

Buoyed by the continued strength of the American labor market despite concerns over customs surcharges in April, the New York Stock Exchange continued to rise on Friday. The Dow Jones index rose 1.4% to 41,317.43 points, and the S&P 500 gained 1.5% to 5,686.67 points. The Nasdaq Composite, rich in technology stocks, also ended up 1.5% to 17,977.73 points

.

After taking advantage of the measures presented by the Trump administration last week to reduce the impact of tariffs on the automotive industry, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones closed their ninth consecutive session on Friday in the green. The S&P 500 gained 2.9% last week and erased all of the ground lost in reaction to the announcement of reciprocal US tariffs on April 2. The Dow Jones posted a weekly gain of 3% and the Nasdaq Composite gained

3.4%.

The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday after its two-day meeting. The central bank is not expected to cut interest rates, but investors will be watching comments from its chairman, Jerome Powell, to find out if and when cuts could occur later in the year

.

The market is still forecasting three rate cuts before the end of 2025, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

In Asia, the Tokyo, Shanghai, and Hong Kong stock exchanges are closed on Monday due to a public holiday.

After the release of employment figures, which weaken the likelihood of a rapid Fed rate cut, US bond yields picked up sharply on Friday.

The 10-year Treasury bill rate rose 9 basis points (0.09 percentage points) on Friday to 4.31%. That of the 2-year bond rose 13 basis points, to 3.84%

.

The greenback lost 0.4% against the Japanese currency, to 144.16 yen. Around 7:40 a.m., the euro rose by 0.3%, to 1.1335 dollars

.
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