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OF Morning Report

02/04/2024
Source : ORISHAS-FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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Avant German inflation , European stock markets should open higher. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 5,083.42 points (+0.03%) (close on 28 March), the CAC 40 at 8,205.81 points (+0.01%) (close on 28 March), the DAX 40 at 18,492.49 points (+0.08%) (close on 28 March) (close on 28 March), the FTSE 100 at 7,952.62 points (+0.26%) (close on 28 March), the SMT I at 11,730.43 points (+0.21%) (close on 28 March), the AEX at 881.78 points (+0.30%) (close on 28 March), the BEL 20 at 3,845.63 points (+0.33%) (close on 28 March), the IBEX 35 at 11,074.60 points (-0.33%) (end of March 28), the DJIA at 39,566.85 points (-0.60%), the Nasdaq at 16,396.83 points (+0.11%), the S&P 500 at 5,243.77 points (-0.20%), and the Nikkei 225 at 39,809.45 points (+0.02%)

.

As for exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD is at 1.0734 (-0.09%), the EUR/JPY at 162.83 (-0.09%), the EUR/JPY at 162.83 (-0.06%), and the USD/JPY at 151.73 (+0.05%).


As markets reopen after an extended Easter weekend, European equity index futures present a mixed picture this morning. At around 7 am the DAX 40 futures contract was close to breakeven, and the FTSE 100 contract lost 7 points, or 0.1%. According to data from the broker IG, the one on the CAC 40 took 13 points, or 0.2%.
Today, investors are paying attention to the first estimate of inflation in Germany in March, as well as to the final figures of the PMIs for services in the eurozone

.

According to the monthly study by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) published on Monday, the manufacturing sector returned to growth in March for the first time in nearly a year and a half in the United States for the first time in nearly a year and a half. While economists expected a further fall, to 48.1, the ISM manufacturing index, which exceeded the threshold of 50 in March, which delimits contraction and expansion of activity, came back to 50.3, against 47.8 in February

.

On Monday, Wall Street finished in scattered order. Investors were cautious after the record highs of the past week and a further rise in oil prices. The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) fell by 0.6%, the expanded S&P 500 index lost 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite, rich in technology stocks, rose 0.1%. For Michael Arone, at State Street Global Advisors, “investors remain dependent on the Federal Reserve”, while several members of the American central bank are due to speak out this week

.

Asian markets are trading in scattered order on Tuesday. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index was trading close to balance at the end of the session. The Hang Seng, which reopened after a long weekend, was up 2.3% at the end of trading in Hong Kong. The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.2%.

After registering their biggest rise in over a month on Monday, buoyed by signs of continued inflation in the United States, US Treasury yields are moving in scattered order this morning. Economists at Deutsche Bank believe that members of the Federal Reserve (Fed) who spoke last week “emphasized that improved inflation data was needed in the coming months to allow the Fed to start reducing the degree of restriction.”

This morning, the euro fell against the dollar. The greenback may remain supported, as bets on a Fed rate cut have been falling since the release of the ISM index in March, which revealed an unexpected expansion in manufacturing activity in the United States. According to Westpac Strategy Group, the decrease in expectations of the Fed to cut key rates, as well as the discrepancy between the robust growth momentum in the United States and the sluggish growth in other major regions of the world, suggest that any drop in the DXY index should be considered a buying opportunity. The DXY index measures the evolution of the dollar against a basket of currencies. At 7:30 a.m., it gained 0.04%

to 105.06.

After the release of data indicating that manufacturing activity in the United States grew slightly last month, oil futures are rising this morning. An Israeli airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Syria threatens to worsen geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. According to ANZ, the Israeli airstrike is intensifying tensions, increasing the possibility of oil supply disruptions. The global oil supply could be further reduced. Mexico's state-owned oil company Pemex has announced that it plans to halt some crude exports in the coming months

.

The May contract on soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex took 45 cents, at $84.16 per barrel, while the June contract on North Sea Brent gained 44 cents, at 87.86 dollars per barrel, around 7:20am.

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