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OF Morning Brief

13/01/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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While investors await the start of annual results this week, European stock markets are expected to open slightly lower on Monday.

The Prime Minister, François Bayrou, will receive on Monday, on the eve of his general policy statement to the National Assembly, the presidents of the two chambers of Parliament, Yaël Braun-Pivet and Gérard Larcher. The prime minister could make concessions on Tuesday, especially on pension reform, to convince socialists, environmentalists and communists not to vote to censure the government. The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, is calling for a “suspension” of pension reform.
The Elysée and Matignon had agreed on the candidacy of Philippe Pascal, the current CFO of Groupe ADP, to succeed Augustin de Romanet, the CEO of the airport

manager.

Around 7:40 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract lost 0.1%, according to data from broker IG.

While a good report on employment in the United States has dampened hopes of further cuts in Federal Reserve (Fed) key rates, European equity markets are expected to open in decline on Monday after the sharp fall on Wall Street on Friday. At around 7:40am, the DAX 40 futures contract was down by 0.2%, as was the one on the FTSE 100, according to data from broker IG. While the publication of good employment figures in the United States contributed to a new rise in bond rates, the New York Stock Exchange ended down sharply on Friday

.

The Dow Jones Index (DJIA) closed down 1.6% to 41,938.45 points while the S&P 500 index lost 1.5% to 5,827.04 points. The Nasdaq Composite, rich in technology stocks, fell 1.6% to 19,161.63 points

.

The University of Michigan for its part reported a slight drop in its household confidence index in January on Friday, as households are more worried about inflation and its impact on their purchasing power in the coming months.
Asian stock markets generally pulled back on Monday. The Shanghai Composite dropped 0.5% at the end of the session and the Hang Seng lost 1.2% on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The Tokyo Stock Exchange is closed for a holiday.

In China, exports increased by 5.9% in 2024 compared to the previous year, reaching $3.6 trillion, according to figures released on Monday.


Last Friday, 10-year and 30-year US Treasury yields ended the session at their highest level in over a year.
The 2-year stock jumped 12 basis points to 4.39%, while the 10-year stock jumped to 4.769%

.

This morning, the euro fell to its lowest level against the dollar since November 2022, while Asian currencies are consolidating against the greenback. CBA analysts say that while U.S. employment figures make it less likely that the Fed will cut rates in the short term, the dollar could continue to appreciate due to “the market's perception of an American economic exception.” At around 7:30am, the euro lost 0.3% to 1.0218 dollars, while the greenback lost

0.2% to 157.49 yen.

Midf Research indicated that Brent prices are expected to remain high and remain above $78 per barrel in the first half of the year. For MIDF, prices have recently soared due to factors such as the expectation of a tightening of American sanctions against Russia, which will influence Russia's ability to maintain its crude exports to Asia. MIDF remains vigilant about possible changes under the future Trump administration, as American oil production could increase under the Republican's second term

.

The February contract for soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex rose 1.61 dollars, or 2.1%, to 78.18 dollars per barrel. At around 7:30am, the March contract for North Sea Brent traded in London gained 1.58 dollars, or 2%, to 81.34

dollars per barrel.
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